Tuesday October 7, 2025

Best ES Setups

☀️ AM BRIEFING

Opening Remarks

The current market analysis indicates a strong bullish sentiment. The overarching principle guiding today’s AM Briefing is simple but powerful: bulls control. We’re seeing clear structural patterns of higher highs and higher lows, which strongly suggest a continuation of the upward trajectory.

The Micros Trader emphasizes the importance of aligning with this dominant market flow, discouraging counter-trend trades unless they are approached with utmost caution. A high-probability pressure cooker range has formed between 6789.50 and 6758.75, and it’s seen as the staging ground for a potential breakout to the upside. Trader psychology is also emphasized, especially around the theme of “profitable patience.”

Overarching Market Thesis: Bullish Control

The dominant thesis in today’s AM Briefing is that bulls remain firmly in control of price action. This is evident in the persistent uptrend, particularly the repeated formation of higher lows and higher highs. Around the 01:18 mark, the Micros Trader points out the repeated “higher lows, higher lows,” reinforcing this view.

The expectation is that price will eventually break to the north, continuing the current bullish structure (01:35). As a core principle, the Micros Trader repeats the phrase “but bulls control, but bulls control, but bulls control” (03:31), making it the foundation for all analysis and strategy today.

Core Trading Strategies

Pro-Trend Strategy (Long Positions)

The primary strategy is to trade with the bullish trend. The preferred setup is the “trap the trader longs” (03:18), a pattern that has been producing consistently strong results.

A long trade from the prior Wednesday is still running and locking in notable gains, depending on the entry:

  • Entry 1: +45 points
  • Entry 2: +63 points
  • Entry 3: +80 points (02:19–02:48)

Yesterday’s analysis mapped out a clear long zone. Even though the Micros Trader personally missed a re-entry by one point, the analysis proved accurate and satisfying: “beautiful to see the price action play out right” (03:51, 04:21).

Counter-Trend Strategy (Short Positions)

Short setups are discouraged and treated as high-risk trades. The briefing clearly advises: “shorts or counter small, if at all” (00:14, 03:18). If you are going to counter-trade, do so with extreme discipline.

  • Use one contract to eliminate the temptation to hold a runner (00:14)
  • Take quick profits, typically 50% of the move — “see money, take money” (00:14)
  • Always be protective and never escalate risk if price moves against you (07:36, 08:06)

One such disciplined short was planned at 6782 — a previously strong level. The order missed entry by two ticks, and the trade was immediately abandoned. As the Micros Trader said, “I’m out. I’m not begging to be a short there” (07:25).

Price is approaching the 6789.50–6758.75 pressure cooker zone — watch for potential bullish breakout.

Key Technical Analysis and Setups

The “Pressure Cooker” Range

A tightly coiled range has developed between 6789.50 and 6758.75 (10:29), acting as a “pressure cooker.” Price is building energy for a move out of this zone.

  • Within the upper part of the range, short opportunities can be considered, but only with caution.
  • Typically, price rotates from the top to the bottom of the range (10:00).
  • The primary directional bias is still bullish, with the goal to “be long for the breakout” (10:29).

Notable Price Levels and Patterns

  • 6782 is still respected as a key level from prior successful short setups (06:48, 06:56).
  • Index Confluence: When all major indices (ES, NQ, YM) move together, trade setups become clearer. A recent ES bounce was confirmed by simultaneous upward movement in the Dow and Nasdaq — “makes trading easier when we’re all on the same train” (05:29, 05:59).
  • London Session Pattern: The London session often begins with a liquidity grab — taking out either the high or low of the Asia session — followed by an aggressive reversal. This setup has been playing out “like clockwork” (08:52).

Volatility Assessment via ATR

  • An ATR around 2.0 is considered healthy (14:17).
  • If ATR drops below 1.0, especially between 0.7–0.9, the market is too slow, and trades are typically avoided (14:17).

Cross-Market Overview

IndexAnalysisStatus
Russell (RTY)Made all-time highs for two consecutive daysBullish
S&P (ES)Trading in the upper distribution near all-time highsNot Bearish
Nasdaq (NQ)Pulled into the Asia high and reversed upward with index confluenceBullish
Dow (YM)Showed relative weakness, “strong vomit down,” not near ATHMixed / Weaker

Essay Format Questions

  1. What emotion affected your trade today?
  2. How will you respond differently next time?

“Discipline is choosing between what you want now and what you want most.”

❓ FREQUENTLY ASKED QUESTIONS

Question 1: What general strategies should traders employ when considering counter trades?

When counter trading, traders should keep full control and only trade small, if at all. The recommendation is to follow the rule of seeing money and taking money, potentially capturing around fifty per cent. If a trader uses multiple contracts, they have the option to keep a single runner contract back.

Question 2: What are the defining characteristics of the current market zone and the prevailing directional control?

The market is currently in a definitive chop type of zone, characterised by making higher lows and higher highs. The zone is most likely expected to break out to the north and continue that move. Bulls are still in control, which is supported by the Russell index having made a new all-time high for two consecutive days.

Question 3: What key risks are associated with trading in the upper distribution and with displaying impatience?

When price is in the upper distribution, traders must be careful going long, as range rules suggest that price typically moves from the top of the range to the bottom of the range. Furthermore, the most expensive trades a person will ever make are the ones they force out of impatience.

Resources for Futures Traders
Become the Trader You Were Meant To Be

Join the MES Trading Room

That Teaches ‘No Level, No Trade’—Discipline Over Prediction

Membership Options

Learn More...

Helping Futures Traders Via Our Core Strategy Academy Training Program and Futures Trading Group – The Best Emini Group IMHO.

ES Emini AM Briefing – S&P Futures Trading Room

How Do You Manage A Runner In MES Micro Futures? | AM Briefing #882

Together We Trade Better AM BRIEFING ES CHART | KEY LEVELS | SETUPS Today’s Schedule Pre-MarketAM Briefing Watch on YouTube 15 Minutes Prior to OpeningES Live Trading Room Join the...

Read…
ES Emini AM Briefing – S&P Futures Trading Room

How Do You Add To Winners In ES Futures? | AM Briefing #881

Together We Trade Better AM BRIEFING ES CHART | KEY LEVELS | SETUPS Today’s Schedule Pre-MarketAM Briefing Watch on YouTube 15 Minutes Prior to OpeningES Live Trading Room Join the...

Read…
ES Emini AM Briefing – S&P Futures Trading Room

AM Briefing #880: Treat Shorts Like Microwave Trades When Bulls Control

Together We Trade Better AM BRIEFING ES CHART | KEY LEVELS | SETUPS ES Technical Analysis — AM Briefing 880 Timeline Wednesday October 21, 2026 TIME CHAPTER 0:00 Welcome ES...

Read…
ES Emini AM Briefing – S&P Futures Trading Room

When a Level Gets Tired, Stand Down | AM Briefing #879

Together We Trade Better AM BRIEFING ES CHART | KEY LEVELS | SETUPS ES Technical Analysis — AM Briefing 879 Timeline Tuesday October 20, 2026 TIME CHAPTER 0:00 Welcome ES...

Read…
ES Emini AM Briefing – S&P Futures Trading Room

AM Briefing #878 — You Will Not Be In Every Trade

Together We Trade Better AM BRIEFING ES CHART | KEY LEVELS | SETUPS ES Technical Analysis — AM Briefing 878 Timeline Monday October 19, 2026 TIME CHAPTER 0:00 Welcome ES...

Read…
ES Emini AM Briefing – S&P Futures Trading Room

AM Briefing #877 · The Opex Friday Trap: When Standing Down Is The Trade

Together We Trade Better AM BRIEFING ES CHART | KEY LEVELS | SETUPS ES Technical Analysis — AM Briefing 877 Timeline Friday October 16, 2026 TIME CHAPTER 0:00 Welcome ES...

Read…
ES Emini AM Briefing – S&P Futures Trading Room

Why Discipline Beats P&L On A Trend Day — AM Briefing #876

Together We Trade Better AM BRIEFING ES CHART | KEY LEVELS | SETUPS ES Technical Analysis — AM Briefing 876 Timeline Thursday October 15, 2026 TIME CHAPTER 0:00 Welcome ES...

Read…
ES Emini AM Briefing – S&P Futures Trading Room

AM Briefing #875: Great Trading Is Boring

Together We Trade Better AM BRIEFING ES CHART | KEY LEVELS | SETUPS ES Technical Analysis — AM Briefing 875 Timeline Wednesday October 14, 2026 TIME CHAPTER 0:00 Welcome ES...

Read…
ES Emini AM Briefing – S&P Futures Trading Room

When A Level Gets Tired, Wait For Something Fresh | AM Briefing #874

Together We Trade Better AM BRIEFING ES CHART | KEY LEVELS | SETUPS ES Technical Analysis — AM Briefing 874 Timeline Tuesday October 13, 2026 TIME CHAPTER 0:00 Welcome ES...

Read…
ES Emini AM Briefing – S&P Futures Trading Room

AM Briefing #873 — Major Inside Day Pressure Cooker At All-Time Highs

Together We Trade Better AM BRIEFING ES CHART | KEY LEVELS | SETUPS ES Technical Analysis — AM Briefing 873 Timeline Monday October 12, 2026 TIME CHAPTER 0:00 Welcome ES...

Read…
ES Emini AM Briefing – S&P Futures Trading Room

AM Briefing #872 · Play Perfect Chess And Hold The Runner

Together We Trade Better AM BRIEFING ES CHART | KEY LEVELS | SETUPS ES Technical Analysis — AM Briefing 872 Timeline Friday October 9, 2026 TIME CHAPTER 0:00 Welcome ES...

Read…
ES Emini AM Briefing – S&P Futures Trading Room

Stay on the Right Side of Price Action — AM Briefing #871

Together We Trade Better AM BRIEFING ES CHART | KEY LEVELS | SETUPS ES Technical Analysis — AM Briefing 871 Timeline Thursday October 8, 2026 TIME CHAPTER 0:00 Welcome ES...

Read…
ES Emini AM Briefing – S&P Futures Trading Room

AM Briefing #870: Holding The Lotto Runner Into FOMC

Together We Trade Better AM BRIEFING ES CHART | KEY LEVELS | SETUPS ES Technical Analysis — AM Briefing 870 Timeline Wednesday October 7, 2026 TIME CHAPTER 0:00 Welcome ES...

Read…
ES Emini AM Briefing – S&P Futures Trading Room

Standing Down At All-Time Highs | AM Briefing #869

Together We Trade Better AM BRIEFING ES CHART | KEY LEVELS | SETUPS ES Technical Analysis — AM Briefing 869 Timeline Tuesday October 6, 2026 TIME CHAPTER 0:00 Welcome ES...

Read…
ES Emini AM Briefing – S&P Futures Trading Room

AM Briefing #868 — The Right Trade In The Right Location

Together We Trade Better AM BRIEFING ES CHART | KEY LEVELS | SETUPS ES Technical Analysis — AM Briefing 868 Timeline Monday October 5, 2026 TIME CHAPTER 0:00 Welcome ES...

Read…
ES Emini AM Briefing – S&P Futures Trading Room

AM Briefing #867 · Why Your Lotto Runner Belongs In A Negative Position

Together We Trade Better AM BRIEFING ES CHART | KEY LEVELS | SETUPS ES Technical Analysis — AM Briefing 867 Timeline Friday October 2, 2026 TIME CHAPTER 0:00 Welcome ES...

Read…
ES Emini AM Briefing – S&P Futures Trading Room

Long Only Where Location Earns It — AM Briefing #866

Together We Trade Better AM BRIEFING ES CHART | KEY LEVELS | SETUPS ES Technical Analysis — AM Briefing 866 Timeline Thursday October 1, 2026 TIME CHAPTER 0:00 Welcome ES...

Read…
ES Emini AM Briefing – S&P Futures Trading Room

AM Briefing #865: Lower Distribution Longs Demand A Smaller Stop

Together We Trade Better AM BRIEFING ES CHART | KEY LEVELS | SETUPS ES Technical Analysis — AM Briefing 865 Timeline Wednesday September 30, 2026 TIME CHAPTER 0:00 Welcome ES...

Read…
ES Emini AM Briefing – S&P Futures Trading Room

Why Holding The Runner Turned A Nice Trade Into A 50 Point Day | AM Briefing #864

Together We Trade Better AM BRIEFING ES CHART | KEY LEVELS | SETUPS ES Technical Analysis — AM Briefing 864 Timeline Tuesday September 29, 2026 TIME CHAPTER 0:00 Welcome ES...

Read…
ES Emini AM Briefing – S&P Futures Trading Room

AM Briefing #863 — Your Best Level May Sit 55 Points Away

Together We Trade Better AM BRIEFING ES CHART | KEY LEVELS | SETUPS ES Technical Analysis — AM Briefing 863 Timeline Monday September 28, 2026 TIME CHAPTER 0:00 Welcome ES...

Read…
ES Emini AM Briefing – S&P Futures Trading Room

AM Briefing #862 · Never Let A Trend Day Hurt You

Together We Trade Better AM BRIEFING ES CHART | KEY LEVELS | SETUPS ES Technical Analysis — AM Briefing 862 Timeline Friday September 25, 2026 TIME CHAPTER 0:00 Welcome ES...

Read…
ES Emini AM Briefing – S&P Futures Trading Room

Bank The Day Green, Then Let The Runner Fly — AM Briefing #861

Together We Trade Better AM BRIEFING ES CHART | KEY LEVELS | SETUPS ES Technical Analysis — AM Briefing 861 Timeline Thursday September 24, 2026 TIME CHAPTER 0:00 Welcome ES...

Read…
ES Emini AM Briefing – S&P Futures Trading Room

AM Briefing #860: You Didn’t Draw It, You Can’t Trade It

Together We Trade Better AM BRIEFING ES CHART | KEY LEVELS | SETUPS ES Technical Analysis — AM Briefing 860 Timeline Wednesday September 23, 2026 TIME CHAPTER 0:00 Welcome ES...

Read…
ES Emini AM Briefing – S&P Futures Trading Room

Shorting A Strong Trend Is One And Done | AM Briefing #859

Together We Trade Better AM BRIEFING ES CHART | KEY LEVELS | SETUPS ES Technical Analysis — AM Briefing 859 Timeline Tuesday September 22, 2026 TIME CHAPTER 0:00 Welcome ES...

Read…
ES Emini AM Briefing – S&P Futures Trading Room

AM Briefing #858 — Never Short A Short Covering Rally

Together We Trade Better AM BRIEFING ES CHART | KEY LEVELS | SETUPS ES Technical Analysis — AM Briefing 858 Timeline Monday September 21, 2026 TIME CHAPTER 0:00 Welcome ES...

Read…
ES Emini AM Briefing – S&P Futures Trading Room

AM Briefing #857 · When The Move Has Already Happened, Hold Your Runner

Together We Trade Better AM BRIEFING ES CHART | KEY LEVELS | SETUPS ES Technical Analysis — AM Briefing 857 Timeline Friday September 18, 2026 TIME CHAPTER 0:00 Welcome ES...

Read…
ES Emini AM Briefing – S&P Futures Trading Room

Stand Down The Day After FOMC — AM Briefing #856

Together We Trade Better AM BRIEFING ES CHART | KEY LEVELS | SETUPS ES Technical Analysis — AM Briefing 856 Timeline Thursday September 17, 2026 TIME CHAPTER 0:00 Welcome ES...

Read…
ES Emini AM Briefing – S&P Futures Trading Room

AM Briefing #855: Write Your Personal Transformation Statement

Together We Trade Better AM BRIEFING ES CHART | KEY LEVELS | SETUPS ES Technical Analysis — AM Briefing 855 Timeline Wednesday September 16, 2026 TIME CHAPTER 0:00 Welcome ES...

Read…
ES Emini AM Briefing – S&P Futures Trading Room

Level 10 Week… You Don’t Have To Trade It | AM Briefing #854

Together We Trade Better AM BRIEFING ES CHART | KEY LEVELS | SETUPS ES Technical Analysis — AM Briefing 854 Timeline Tuesday September 15, 2026 TIME CHAPTER 0:00 Welcome ES...

Read…
ES Emini AM Briefing – S&P Futures Trading Room

AM Briefing #853 — Respect The Level 10 Week

Together We Trade Better AM BRIEFING ES CHART | KEY LEVELS | SETUPS ES Technical Analysis — AM Briefing 853 Timeline Monday September 14, 2026 TIME CHAPTER 0:00 Welcome ES...

Read…
Mighty Micro
Mighty Micro
Mighty Micro
MicrosTrader Support
Hey! I'm Mighty Micro, your MicrosTrader support assistant. I can help with membership questions, indicator troubleshooting, Zoom access, and more. What can I help you with?
Mighty Micro is thinking...