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ES CHART | KEY LEVELS | SETUPS

ES Technical Analysis — AM Briefing 860 Timeline

Wednesday September 23, 2026

TIMECHAPTER
0:00Welcome ES MES Futures Traders
0:24Short the ES or Stand Down?
The open question for AM Briefing #860. Was the 60s the time to short, or is it a Stand Down day?
0:46This Week's Scripture
Proverbs 27:23. Be diligent to know the state of your flocks, for riches are not forever. Tend your account with attention.
1:04This Week's Economic CalendarEconomic CalendarA schedule of upcoming economic data releases. CPI, NFP, GDP, retail sales—it's all there. Check it every morning. Don't get caught unaware when a major report drops. Full entry →
Wednesday flash Services PMI 15 minutes after the open. Thursday unemployment claims. Friday consumer sentiment and expectations.
1:19Tip of the Day: You Didn't Draw It
If you didn't draw the level, you can't trade it. Set that rule in stone. Only pre-planned trades get your dollars.
1:53Three Ways We Earn Points
The Battle PlanBattle PlanA set of pre-mapped trade scenarios created the night before trading begins. This is your roadmap for the day. It outlines specific zones where you're interested in engaging price—long or short—if the market behaves according to plan. Full entry →, the live Zoom room, and the Core Strategy scalpingScalpingQuick in, quick out. Targeting small profits (5-20 points) many times per day. High win rate, tight stops, fast decisions. Full entry → system. Fewer, higher quality, pre-mapped trades.
2:47Core Strategy and the Four Badge Challenge
We draw lines where price is likely to bounce. New members submit four charts for feedback until levels match exactly.
3:19Where Are We: Battle Plan 6 and the Base
Battle Plan 6 and the Battle Plan 1 add-on played out. A base broke out and price is building another one.
3:36A Tight Base, Big Move Loading
Look how tight the range is. A strong move is expected one direction or the other. Coiled energy.
3:53The Trades: 25 Points and the 38 Entry
George made 25 points per contract two nights ago. Took it small again this morning at 38, the ideal entry.
4:14Anchored VWAPAnchored VWAPVWAP calculated from a specific starting point you choose—like a major high, low, or news event. This gives you a custom average price from that moment forward. Full entry → and the Expected Range
Anchored VWAPVolume Weighted Average Price (VWAP)The average price weighted by volume. Institutions use this to measure their execution quality. Above VWAP = bullish. Below VWAP = bearish. Full entry → drawn off the candle of change. The expected range is the first obvious target if a short triggers.
4:43Join Us Live, Free
Trade live Monday through Friday. You don't have to be a full member. Click join on the YouTube livestream and watch.
4:59ES and NQ on a Tear, Dow Lags
NQ and ES ripping higher. Dow is weaker, still laddering down, which keeps the Battle Plan 1 short parked.
5:16Still Inside Yesterday's Range
Price remains inside yesterday's tight range, coiling for a strong move. George is still leaning south.
5:44Not Every Trade Is Your Trade
You won't be in every trade. Missing a clean setup is fine. Another high probability trade is around the corner.
6:01Traded Live 15 Minutes Before the Open
The next setup gets traded live, 15 minutes before the market. Together we trade better.

MES MICROS TRADE PLAN

You Didn’t Draw It, You Can’t Trade It

Posted: Wednesday September 23, 2026

☀️ AM BRIEFING

Today’s ES futures morning briefing lands on a coiled tape. Price is still trapped inside yesterday’s tight range, building another base right on top of the one that already broke out. A big move is loading, and George is leaning south while staying open to either direction. The whole session hangs on one rule… you didn’t draw it, you can’t trade it. Only pre-planned trades get your hard-earned dollars, and that discipline is the day’s real edge.

THE TIP OF THE DAY: YOU DIDN’T DRAW IT, YOU CAN’T TRADE IT

Set this rule in stone. Only pre-planned trades. If you didn’t mark the level the night before, you don’t take the trade the next day.

The market will tempt you with beautiful moves all day long. Let the unplanned ones run without you. Your job is to trade the levels you mapped… the ones you drew, judged, and committed to before the bell.

Trader Lesson 1

You didn’t draw it, you can’t trade it. If a level was not on your chart before the open, it is not your trade… let it run without you.

A TIGHT BASE, A BIG MOVE LOADING

Look at the structure. We had Battle Plan 6 in play, then the Battle Plan 1 add-on for anyone who caught it. A base broke out… and now price is building another base right on top. Look how tight that is.

Tight bases coil energy. The tighter the range, the bigger the release. We are still all inside yesterday’s range, getting ready for a strong move one direction or the other. The ideal entry sits at 38. George traded this same setup two nights ago for 25 points per contract, then took it small again this morning at 38… it moved four or five points in his favor, came back, and stopped him out. No big deal. That is the coil doing its work.

When a base gets this tight, respect the spring. A strong move is coming… your job is to have the level drawn so you can trade the release instead of chasing it.

Trader Lesson 2

A tight range is a loaded spring. The longer price coils, the stronger the break… map the level now so the move works for you, not against you.

WHERE THE MARKET STANDS

Reading price as objectively as possible: NQ has been on a freaking tear, ES has been on a tear too. Dow is the odd one out… not so much of a squeeze there. It is still very much a laddering-down sequence.

  • ES and NQ: Strong upside, riding a squeeze higher.
  • Dow: Weaker, still laddering down. Because of that, George kept the Battle Plan 1 short parked there.
  • The map: George drew an anchored VWAP off the candle of change and marked the expected range as the first obvious target if a short triggers.

Everything is still inside yesterday’s tight range. If the setup comes, George takes it. If it rotates back and re-taps the expected range without him, so be it… there is always another high probability trade around the corner.

NOT EVERY TRADE IS YOUR TRADE

Here is the mindset that keeps a trader whole. You are not going to be in every trade. Not every trade is your trade on your terms. And that is fine.

Missing a clean move is not a loss. Forcing an unplanned one is. When a great trade sets up without you, you shrug and wait. Another high probability setup is always around the corner, and it gets traded live 15 minutes before the market opens.

Trader Lesson 3

Not every trade is your trade. Missing a good one costs you nothing… forcing a bad one costs you everything. Wait for the setup that fits your plan.

HOW WE EARN POINTS AT THE GROUP

There are three ways we earn points in the room, and they work together to keep you in the right zone of price action and a calm trading environment.

  1. The Battle Plan: Taking fewer, higher quality, well thought out, pre-mapped trades. TradingView indicators plot the exact levels on your chart.
  2. The Live Zoom: Longs, shorts, and high probability reactions traded live across 2,000-plus livestreams, layering extra trades on top of the plan based on price action.
  3. Core Strategy: The scalping system. We draw lines where price is most likely to bounce, then trade those bounces. It is black or white… it either is or it isn’t.

New full members complete the four badge challenge. You submit four charts, George judges each one and gives feedback, and you may redraw until you know your levels match his exactly.

THIS WEEK ON THE ECONOMIC CALENDAR

DateEventSignificance
WednesdayFlash Services PMI (15 minutes after the open)Early read on services activity… can jolt a coiled tape right after the bell.
ThursdayUnemployment ClaimsWeekly labor pulse. Lighter day, but still moves the tape.
FridayConsumer Sentiment and ExpectationsCloses the week with the mood read on the consumer.

This week’s scripture set the tone: “Be diligent to know the state of your flocks, attend to your herds… her riches are not forever.” Proverbs 27:23. Tend your account the same way… with attention, not greed.

“You didn’t draw it, you can’t trade it… let the unplanned ones run without you.”

❓ FREQUENTLY ASKED QUESTIONS

COMMON QUESTIONS FOR ES FUTURES TRADERS

What does “you didn’t draw it, you can’t trade it” mean?

A: It is a discipline rule. If a price level was not marked on your chart before the open, you do not trade it during the session. Only pre-planned, pre-drawn levels get your money. It stops you from chasing the beautiful moves the market dangles all day long.

Why does a tight range in ES futures matter?

A: A tight range is coiled energy. When price builds a narrow base for a stretch, it is compressing before a release, so a strong move in one direction or the other becomes more likely. Traders map the edges of that base so they can trade the breakout instead of reacting late.

What is an anchored VWAP and why anchor it to a candle of change?

A: VWAP is the Volume Weighted Average PriceVolume Weighted Average Price (VWAP)The average price weighted by volume. Institutions use this to measure their execution quality. Above VWAP = bullish. Below VWAP = bearish. Full entry →. An anchored VWAP starts the calculation from a specific candle you choose rather than the session open. Anchoring it to the “candle of change” (where momentum shifted) gives you a dynamic reference level for targets and reactions from that turning point forward.

What is the expected range in the Battle Plan?

A: The expected range is the zone George projects price is likely to travel and revisit for the session. It becomes the first obvious target when a trade triggers, and a re-tap of that range can itself be a high probability setup.

Why keep a Dow short while ES and NQ are ripping higher?

A: Because the indexes are not moving in lockstep. ES and NQ have been on a tear higher while Dow is still laddering down in a weaker sequence. Trading each instrument on its own structure, rather than assuming they all move together, is what justified keeping the Battle Plan 1 short parked on Dow.

What are the three ways to earn points in the trading room?

A: The Battle Plan (fewer, higher quality pre-mapped trades), the live Zoom room (longs, shorts, and high probability reactions traded live), and Core Strategy (a scalping system built on drawing lines where price is likely to bounce). Together they keep you in the right zone of price action.

What is the four badge challenge?

A: It is the onboarding for new full members. You submit four charts with your levels drawn, George judges each one and gives feedback, and you may redraw until your levels match his exactly. It confirms you are marking your key levels correctly before you trade them live.

Is it a problem to miss a good trade?

A: No. Not every trade is your trade on your terms, and you will never be in every move. Missing a clean setup costs you nothing… forcing an unplanned one can cost you plenty. There is always another high probability trade around the corner.

Do you have to be a full member to watch live?

A: No. The room trades live Monday through Friday, 15 minutes before the market opens. You can join the YouTube livestream for free by clicking the join button and watch the levels get traded in real time.

Resources for Futures Traders
Become the Trader You Were Meant To Be

📅 Upcoming This Week

Hit the bell — every AM Briefing and live trading session this week is already scheduled on YouTube:

Helping Futures Traders Via Our Core Strategy Academy Training Program and Futures Trading Group – The Best Emini Group IMHO.

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