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ES & MES FUTURES TRADE PLAN #356

SUNDAY/MONDAY RTH SETUPS
📝 Posted: Sunday, July 26, 2026

🎧 Read Aloud

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TODAY’S REVIEW: ES FUTURES

Pressure Cooker Unleashed

For days we have said, “Pressure Cooker… Let’s be honest… ES hasn’t gone anywhere. Nowhere at all. But the pressure cooker is still building pressure. Every quiet session screws the lid on a little tighter.”

Last week… the lid finally blew… to the south!

We got our move. And bears control.

The Bulls have a lot to do! 

Bulls have to prove it now. Bears get the benefit of the doubt.

Expect all moves to the north to be short-lived until proven otherwise.

Expected Range

132-points with FOMC + MSFT + APPLE on deck this week. 

The expected range seems about right. 

As always, I hope we explore both sides of that 132 point range. 

Of note… This week’s range high was basically the last two weeks’ Bull Bear line. 

ES Expected Range

Options-Implied Weekly Move · Week Ending Jul 31, 2026

Range Low

7,315.22

←

ES Price

7,447.50

→

Range High

7,579.78

  

Implied Move

±132.28 pts

Implied Move %

±1.78%

Implied move from SPX ATM straddle applied to ES front-month futures.
Not financial advice.

Tip of the Day

Reminder 1: Bears control. When bears control, you never ever let a LONG go against you.

Reminder 2: Never make things worse. Take the loss like a professional trader… be a professional loser!

Do those two things and you live to trade the next hand.

Trader’s Homework

Brand New!

Check out the Battle Plan Replay and End-Of-The-Day Chart simulator!

Thank you for being a member. 

As one member said, “This hits so many things simultaneously: review, accountability, feedback, consensus/agreement on levels and their tradability.” — Tim H.

[trader_homework]

Tomorrow’s Live Streams

AM Briefing

AM Briefing

▶ Watch on YouTube🔔 Notify Me

YouTube Live Stream

YouTube Live Stream

▶ Watch on YouTube🔔 Notify Me

Scoreboard

Points Accumulated Last Week:

Battle Plan: 210+

🔥 Tremendous Week. At least one Battle Plan went for 100-points – if you could have held.

Zoom: 120+

🔥 We saw the week very very well on Zoom & YouTube Live. 

Core Strategy: 100+ (Full Members)

There were so many Core Strategy trades last week. 

ARE YOU NEW HERE

Welcome!

Want a feel for our complete system… check out the Foundations Course and join us each morning on YouTube.

Want a step-by-step tutorial on how to trade the Battle Plan… Battle Plan Boot Camp is your next stop.

[are_you_new_here]


ECONOMIC CALENDAR

MONDAY

8:30 AMDurable Goods
10:30 AMDallas Fed Manufacturing Index

TUESDAY

8:15 AMADP Payrolls
8:30 AMRetail Inventories Ex Autos Month-over-Month Adv
Wholesale Inventories Month-over-Month Adv
9:00 AMS&P/Case-Shiller Home Price Year-over-Year
10:00 AMCB Consumer Confidence

Get Tomorrow’s Setups Tonight
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COMMON QUESTIONS FOR ES FUTURES TRADERS

What does it mean when the Battle Plan says bears control?

A: It means sellers have the upper hand and they get the benefit of the doubt. The pressure cooker finally blew last week… to the south. So every rally to the north is treated as short-lived until bulls prove otherwise. Practically, that changes how you trade. You be perfect with longs, you take them only at mapped locations, and you never ever let a long go against you. Shorts are the easier side while this holds.

What is a Strong Level in the Battle Plan?

A: A Strong Level is a single price where the market has shown it reacts… a spot worth watching for a bounce, a rejection, or a pause. A Strong Range is the same idea across a small band of prices, like 7,465.75 to 7,459.50, instead of one number. These are locations, not signals. You wait there, you watch the price action, and you take your own confirmation before you execute. Members not on TradingView hand draw these on their own charting platform.

What is the Expected Range and how do I use it?

A: The Expected Range is the move the options market is pricing in for the week, taken from the SPX at the money straddle and applied to ES front month futures. This week it is 132 points… roughly 1.78 percent, putting the low near 7,315.22 and the high near 7,579.78. Use it as a boundary map. It tells you how much room the market thinks it has, so you know when a level is realistic to reach and when it is way down yonder. Ideally we explore both sides of that range.

What is the Core Strategy?

A: Core Strategy is the Micros Trader trade method available to Full Members, run alongside the Battle Plan levels. It produced 100 plus points last week with a lot of trades on the board. The Battle Plan tells you where to go long and where to go short. Core Strategy is the execution system you carry into those locations day after day. New traders can get the full picture through the Foundations Course and the Battle Plan Boot Camp.

What is a lotto runner and why hold one at Battle Plan 4?

A: A lotto runner is the last contract you keep on after taking profit on the rest… the piece you let run for the big move. Battle Plan 4 is flagged as the Preferred Trade because it looks like the last stand for bulls, and that is exactly where a runner can pay. Hold it with all your might. Just remember the other half of the job. Never make things worse. If it goes against you, take the loss like a professional trader and live to trade the next hand.

MICROS TRADER BASICS

Trader Psychology and the Monday Lunch and Learn

Every Monday, Micros Trader holds a Lunch and Learn session dedicated entirely to trader psychology. Trading requires the best version of you… and becoming that trader consistently is a skill that has to be developed alongside the technical work.

Topics include discipline under pressure, managing losing streaks, the psychology of overtrading, building daily habits, and staying consistent when the market is difficult. The Monday Lunch and Learn is included with Full Membership and reflects Micros Trader’s belief that the mental side of trading is as important as the chart work.

Learn more about Micros Trader →

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